cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/53398232

A new analysis suggests that Beijing may be tolerating or even encouraging toxic discourse to undermine the moral and political authority of Kyiv and its Western supporters, says Yurii Poita, MERICS Senior Associate Fellow and Head of the Asia Section at Kyiv-based New Geopolitics Research Network (NGRN).

While the Chinese government likes to present itself as “objective and impartial” regarding the Russia-Ukraine war, the tone on Chinese social media is radically different. Influencers on Chinese online platform Weibo, many with millions of followers, regularly attack the Ukrainian government, attempt to drive a wedge between Kyiv and its European and US partners, portray Ukrainian armed forces and recruitment centers as “Nazi,” and justify documented Russian war crimes. Given the links between these opinion leaders and the Chinese state, and the characteristics of China’s media system, this may be driven by an information strategy tolerated or even encouraged by Beijing.

An analysis of 1,800 posts on Weibo – from verified accounts with at least 100,000 followers over the past year – reveals consistently toxic discourse structured around four recurring narratives about the war between Russia and Ukraine.

Narrative 1 – Ukraine is a Western proxy run by a charlatan

The government of Ukraine is consistently portrayed as a puppet of the West that long ago lost its sovereignty, is no longer regarded as an independent subject of international law, and whose military affairs are controlled by NATO member states’ militaries and intelligence services. Chinese social-media influencers often depict the government’s purported failings as personified by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. He is variously described as a clown, illegitimate, a drug addict and a political usurper. And he is portrayed as opposing peace, undermining Russia’s peace initiatives and sacrificing the Ukrainian people for personal gain. Zelenskyy’s visits to European capitals are described as attempts to ingratiate himself and beg for even more money to finance the war.

Narrative 2 – Ukrainian soldiers are deceitful “Nazis”

Many posts about the Ukrainian military accuse it of Nazi sympathies, violating ceasefires, terrorist attacks against Russia, trafficking children from Donbas, and killing its own soldiers. For example, the person behind the account Looking Up to the Marquis of Tiao (“仰止条侯”), which has 575,000 followers, writes: “Ukrainian troops shot dead two comrades who were trying to raise their hands and surrender in front of a Russian drone. This is said to be common practice in the Ukrainian army. They reportedly kill those who try to escape, using them as ‘cannon fodder.’”

Narrative 3 – Ukraine and its partners are drifting apart

Many pronouncements aim to weaken the trust and partnership between Ukraine and its Western allies. Stories are spread both to discredit Ukraine in the eyes of Europe and the US, and to undermine its confidence and destroy its faith in its partnership with the West. Widespread claims about “Ukraine fatigue” in Europe, for example, portray Ukraine as a parasitic burden on European resources, while simultaneously accusing Europe of not providing enough help. Russian propaganda outlet Ukraina.ru uses its Chinese-language page on Weibo to claim: “The Kyiv regime has never stopped biting the hand that feeds it […] Zelenskyy did not forget to accuse Western sponsors of delaying air defense missile supplies, shifting responsibility for Ukraine’s energy crisis onto its allies.”

Narrative 4 – Russian strikes are a response to “terrorism”

One widespread narrative claims that Russia is carrying out military strikes in response to Kyiv’s “terrorist attacks,” liberating territory from “Ukrainian Nazis” and receiving a warm welcome from the local “liberated” population. For example, one post justifies strikes on Kyiv, NATO facilities and personnel as retaliation for a Ukrainian attack on civilians in the Russian city of Tuapse. Another post interprets the war as a forced confrontation with NATO and the West, not a war of aggression: “Russia’s goals were never territorial but rather aimed at destroying the military capabilities of the West and its proxy armies in order to prevent harm to the interests of the Russian people.”

These Chinese narratives largely echo Russian disinformation about Ukraine, reproducing its characteristic vocabulary, including phrases such as “Kyiv regime,” “Ukrainian fascists” or “Zelenskyy the clown.” This suggests that Chinese influencers are systematically adopting Russian information approaches. Several factors suggest this is happening with at least tacit approval from the Chinese state, potentially as part of a broader information policy. Russia and China have, for one, signed several agreements in the information sphere, creating an institutional foundation for coordinated media interaction. While these agreements do not provide direct evidence of joint disinformation campaigns, they do ensure an environment conducive to aligning information approaches.

Chinese social media platforms, particularly Weibo, host the official or affiliated pages of Russian media outlets such as Sputnik and “Ukraina.ru,” which systematically spread anti-Ukrainian narratives. The fact that these accounts operate freely and face no restrictions in China’s tightly controlled information environment at the very least suggests state tolerance for their activities. Some Chinese content, thirdly, reproduces messages not only from official Russian representatives but also from Russian military Telegram channels and information resources associated with Russian intelligence services and a broader disinformation system.

For example, posts regularly describe conflicts between [Ukrainian] recruitment centers and civilians in detail and systematically present them in a negative light. Given the high degree of state control over China’s information space, their mass dissemination raises questions about why they are permitted. This, lastly, suggests that cultivating critical or negative attitudes towards Ukraine among Chinese audiences may align with Beijing’s foreign policy, which as a result does not appear to be “objective and impartial.”

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  • john_t@piefed.ee
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    6 hours ago

    Where I live there are many brazilians with the same talking points. It’s a BRICS thing. They’re sold on the propaganda about “evil Azov and NATO expansionism”.