A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of Ansarallah military spokesman Yahya Saree delivering a statement/speech.


The ceasefire appears to be at least temporarily over, with an exchange of fire between (what appears to be) predominantly Iran and the entity, though as always I expect we’ll find increasing evidence of direct US involvement.

The chain of events was as follows, in spoilers below for those who haven’t been keeping up:

chain of events summary
  1. A while ago, Iran warned the occupation entity that if they strike Beirut (with particular emphasis on its southern suburbs, which is an area where Hezbollah officials/structures are concentrated as I understand it) then they will directly strike the north of Occupied Palestine, turning the area into a military zone, and encouraged settlers to leave to avoid civilian casualties.

  2. This warning was grudging accepted by the entity, who ordinarily has a policy called the Daniyeh Doctrine, in which they murder civilians en masse by bombing apartment buildings and houses in enemy cities in order to pressure the military forces they are battling to give into conditions they ordinarily would not be obliged to accept, because the Zionist ground campaigns are usually fairly ineffective at achieving goals on medium to long timescales. While removing their ability to bomb Beirut didn’t halt the Daniyeh Doctrine entirely (they could and did hit other places), their distinct inability to strike the capital when they ordinarily could do that freely was a big source of discontentment in both the civilian population and the military.

  3. As Hezbollah increasingly attrited the Zionist offensive forces, the attractiveness of bombing Beirut in retaliation increased regardless of the consequences, and of course the Zionists do still want to do anything they can to attack and weaken Iran directly and are much worse at hiding this than even the US. This resentment culminated on June 7th, where the Zionists conducted an airstrike on Beirut on a Hezbollah HQ.

  4. Iran immediately said that this constituted a break in the ceasefire, and Khamenei put Iran back on a full war footing. Within 6 hours of the strike on Beirut, Iranian missiles were flying towards the northern occupied territories, in what they regarded as merely a warning shot. Western media was obviously fairly dismissive of this; 182% interception rates and all that jazz, but we have several videos of missiles hitting targets.

  5. Trump publicly warned the Zionists to not respond, which many sensible people immediately diagnosed as kayfabe, and Iran obviously remained on guard against a counterattack. This came a few hours later from Zionist drones and stand-off strikes from aircraft likely in Iraqi airspace, just like in the initial phase of the war months ago. These hit sites in western and central Iran, including a petrochemical facility, but also with some interceptions.

  6. Iran then responded to this counterattack with a yet bigger warning shot into the occupied territories. Ansarallah also joined in with strikes on the Zionists, and they additionally announced that the Red Sea is now closed to all vessels linked directly to the entity. Certain accounts have said that the Bab el Mandab is now actually under full blockade, but this is not clearly substantiated as of me writing this at about 2pm BST, June 8th. There’s been a lot of “considering closing” and “threatening to close” and “moving to close” the Red Sea over the ceasefire period that hasn’t materialized, so I don’t want to get out over my skis.

Worth noting that according to Yves over at Naked Capitalism (a fairly reliable and left-leaning, but not communist, website), we’re now about a month or so away from reaching “tank bottom”. This is largely because commercial demand destruction has not sufficiently occurred due to oil price market manipulations keeping it low, and also because there have been basically no government policies in the US like widespread work-from-home orders. So, soon the shortages will be of the literal oil molecules not being available and not just the price signal. So there’s an increasing anxiety in the US to get this conflict over before the economy really starts to crash in the latter half of the year, one way or another. As a deal seems only increasingly unlikely given US stubborness and inability to accept battlefield realities, a return to military strikes as we’ve seen appears the only way forward, despite almost catastrophic munitions shortages.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Tervell [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    8 hours ago

    https://archive.ph/SJzOO

    EU countries weigh ‘tearing apart’ bloc’s diplomatic service

    Chief diplomat Kaja Kallas and her EEAS are in capitals’ crosshairs over leadership and co-ordination issues

    more

    France and Germany are discussing proposals for a radical overhaul of the EU’s 15-year-old diplomatic service in an attempt to improve the bloc’s response to geopolitical crises. Paris, Berlin and other capitals are weighing options that include stripping powers from the bloc’s chief diplomat Kaja Kallas and her €1bn-a-year External Action Service (EEAS) and returning them to the European Commission and member states, according to five senior officials briefed on the discussions. “It is clear that [the EEAS] doesn’t work the way it should in today’s world. It is dysfunctional,” said one of the officials. “The problem is structural and so the structure needs to be rebuilt.” In recent years, the EU has been roiled by the wars in Ukraine and Iran, the whims of US President Donald Trump and the rising use of tariffs, economic coercion and energy supplies as foreign policy tools, with many questioning whether the EEAS is up to the task of coordinating effective responses.

    The proposal, which would reverse the aims of a 16-year-old decision to create the EEAS as an autonomous service, is one of several options detailed in a French government assessment shared with other member states. One idea proposed by Paris is to limit the autonomy of the top diplomat — currently a double-hatted role answering to member states and the Commission — and loosen her control over the network of more than 140 delegations that the EEAS operates in countries around the world. “Capitals are annoyed and want an effective way for us to act in unison externally,” said another of the officials. “There’s a real risk that the [EEAS] gets torn apart.” Proponents of restructuring the diplomatic service believe it is feasible without changing the EU treaty, which states that the EEAS should “assist” the top diplomat under terms agreed by member states and dating back to 2010. Any changes to those terms would require unanimous support from the EU’s 27 member states. In an email to EEAS staff sent on Thursday afternoon, Kallas referenced the FT’s reporting and said she “welcome[s] this debate” on the relationship between the EEAS, the Commission and EU member states, adding: “We also all know that the system could work better and without [sic] less duplication here in Brussels.” “Given the unprecedented geopolitical challenges we face, it is only natural that these discussions attract renewed attention and take on greater intensity,” Kallas wrote in the email, seen by the FT. “My commitment is to a strong EEAS that provides for a stronger European foreign and security policy. I see my peers among the [foreign] ministers wanting the same.”

    Several countries have argued in private that there is too much overlap and a lack of co-ordination between the EEAS, national foreign ministries and the external relations directorates of the Commission and Council, the officials said. Those concerns have been exacerbated by Kallas’ seemingly speaking her own mind on issues such as EU-China relations and making proposals that had not yet been approved by capitals. At the same time, the EEAS and the Commission led by Ursula von der Leyen are locked in a fight for primacy over foreign and security issues. Von der Leyen — a former German defence minister — has moved her role beyond its traditional parameters by operating a self-proclaimed “geopolitical Commission”, appointing the bloc’s first defence commissioner and routinely taking the lead on the bloc’s response to Russia’s war in Ukraine. She has also explored setting up an intelligence-sharing unit similar to one that already exists within the EEAS — an idea Kallas opposes.

    Three of the officials said the EEAS overhaul could also be influenced by ongoing discussions over the bloc’s next shared budget, where many member states are demanding cost savings and streamlined processes in Brussels. Moving EEAS powers to directorates inside the Commission and Council could save money by slashing posts, the officials said. Drafting sanctions lists and proposals for military missions, for instance, could be shifted to the Council, while day-to-day diplomacy would be overseen by the Commission. Ideas about how to reshape the EU foreign service are also being factored into the drafting of a new security strategy set to be published by the Commission this summer, two of the officials said. The French assessment of potential remedies, which is preliminary, is being discussed bilaterally at senior levels between EU governments and is one of multiple options floated about the future of the EEAS, the officials said. Paris has been clear that all the options have pros and cons. The Élysée Palace declined to comment.

    A representative for Kallas told the FT that she is “fully focused on delivering on her mandate”, adding: “An important part of it is further strengthening both the EEAS and the Commission for implementing the treaties in the field of external action and the common foreign and security policy.” The French foreign ministry said on Thursday: “There is indeed a discussion about the future of the EEAS, but this reflection and reform process must come only from the High Representative and her own team. France will be there to accompany and support it, as it has always done.” When asked by the FT about the proposals, a German official said: “In a changing world, it’s clear we need a stronger EU, and a stronger EU foreign policy arm. That is why, since the creation of the EEAS, we have striven and continue to strive for improving our decision-making processes and strengthening our joint foreign policy.” The EEAS is also conducting studies internally about potential reform ideas, the officials added. Stefan Lehne, a former EU official who is now a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe in Brussels, said: “If you look at the development of EU foreign policy over the past five years, it is quite clear that the results have not been positive.” “There is a need to respond to the negative environment all around, and institutional change is one way to do this,” Lehne added. “It would be strange not to adjust the instruments and structure to the new reality that the EU faces today.”

      • carpoftruth [any, any]@hexbear.netM
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        6 hours ago

        yeah I was more excited by this before I realized that this would just empower von der leyen more and not someone less rabid. kallas is in an awkward spot of sharing the same imperialist/ethnic supremacist principles as other more staid EU politicians, but with the disadvantage of constantly being visibly stupid and incompetent

    • SexUnderSocialism [she/her]@hexbear.net
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      7 hours ago

      Predictably, every mouth breathing bloodthirsty European Slava Ukraini lib and socdem is being upset over this news, and defends Kaja Kallas because she’s as unhinged as they are.

    • red_giant [comrade/them, he/him]@hexbear.net
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      7 hours ago

      A representative for Kallas told the FT that she is “fully focused on delivering on her mandate”

      Her “mandate” as though it’s a democratically elected position and not a functionary appointed by the EU heads of state.

      Her position has no “mandate”.